Prediction Markets

2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Democrats sweep

D-House, R-Senate

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Above 52

52

2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 8 to 10%

Democrats, 10 to 12%

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

230-233

234-237

Closest Senate race in 2026?

Iowa

Texas

Georgia Governor-Senate combo

Rick Jackson and Jon Ossoff win

Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win

Texas Governor-Senate combo

Greg Abbott and James Talarico win

Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win

Ohio Governor-Senate combo

Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win

Vivek Ramaswamy and Jon Husted win

Closest Governor race in 2026?

Georgia

Florida

Alaska Governor-Senate combo

Democrats sweep

Republicans sweep

Michigan Governor-Senate combo

Jocelyn Benson and Abdul El-Sayed win

Jocelyn Benson and Mike Rogers win

Alaska House, Governor & Senate combo

Democrats win Governor & Senate; Republican wins House

Republican sweep

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Brazil President, Israel PM & U.S. Senate combo

Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Democrats

Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Republicans

Will Democrats sweep the "core four" Senate races?

Iowa Governor-Senate combo

Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win

Rob Sand and Josh Turek win

Midterms: Democratic mega tsunami?

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

Above 235

Above 238

How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?

7

8

Minnesota Governor-Senate combo

Amy Klobuchar and Peggy Flanagan win

Amy Klobuchar and Michele Tafoya win

Midterms: Blue trickle?

How many House seats will Democrats win in Minnesota?

4

5

Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico

Bo French & Ken Paxton

Florida Governor-Senate combo

Byron Donalds and Ashley Moody win

David Jolly and Ashley Moody win

Kansas Governor-Senate combo

Ty Masterson and Roger Marshall win

Ty Masterson and Adam Hamilton win

Maine Governor-Senate combo

Hannah Pingree and Troy Jackson win

Hannah Pingree and Susan Collins win

How many House seats will Democrats win in Ohio?

6

5

How many Republican senators will lose reelection in 2026?

5 or more

Exactly 4

New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo

Kelly Ayotte and Chris Pappas win

Kelly Ayotte and John E. Sununu win

How many House seats will Democrats win in California?

48

47

Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026?

Pennsylvania

Nevada

Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026?

Georgia

Ohio

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